Sunday, August 31, 2008

Mass Index: An explanation




The Mass Index was designed to identify trend reversals by measuring the narrowing and widening of the range between the high and low prices. As this range widens, the Mass Index increases; as the range narrows the Mass Index decreases.

The Mass Index was developed by Donald Dorsey.

According to Mr. Dorsey, the most significant pattern to watch for is a "reversal bulge." A reversal bulge occurs when a 25-period Mass Index rises above 27.0 and subsequently falls below 26.5. A reversal in price is then likely. The overall price trend (i.e., trending or trading range) is unimportant.

A 9-period exponential moving average of prices is often used to determine whether the reversal bulge indicates a buy or sell signal. When the reversal bulge occurs, you should buy if the moving average is trending down (in anticipation of the reversal) and sell if it is trending up.

A 9-day exponential moving average is plotted on top of Nifty's prices. I drew arrows when a reversal bulge occurred (i.e., the Mass Index rose above 27 and then fell below 26.5).

You can see that the signals generated by the Mass Index during this time period occurred a few days before the trend reversed.

Calculation

To calculate the Mass Index:

1. Calculate a 9-day exponential moving average ("EMA") of the difference between the high and low prices.
2. Calculate a 9-day exponential moving average of the moving average calculated in Step 1.
3. Divide the moving average calculated in Step 1 by the moving average calculated in Step 2.
4. Total the values in Step 3 for the number of periods in the Mass Index (e.g., 25 days).

Psst.... I just use the iCharts to draw me Mass Index - LOL


Uma - hope that this answer's your query. I have gone through a lot of examples and the Mass index is fairly accurate in giving trend reversals.


allvoices

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